Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby3 - 0Bristol City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Derby (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Derby County 1-1 Bristol City
Derby have been impressive on home soil so far this season, but the Rams' lack of attacking firepower makes it hard to envisage them blowing Bristol City away this weekend. The Robins have looked very competitive in each of their contests to date, and we believe that the visitors have enough quality to force a share of the spoils at Pride Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Bristol City |
39.63% ( 0.01) | 27.99% ( 0) | 32.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.43% ( -0.01) | 58.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% ( -0) | 79.13% ( 0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0) | 28.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.3% | 64.7% ( 0) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.01) | 33.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.01) | 70.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 39.62%
Bristol City 32.38%
Draw 27.98%
| Derby County | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.38% |
How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City
Derby County
36.0%Draw
22.0%Bristol City
42.0%50
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol City
3-2
Derby
Form Guide
