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Championship header 2

Championship
Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Derby logo

Watford
2 - 1
Derby

Issouf Bayo (31'), Sissoko (76')
Chakvetadze (45'), Rajovic (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adams (2')
Adams (50'), Bradley (89'), Nelson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Derby County

 After netting six goals across their opening two Championship matches, Watford will be confident of continuing their rich vein of form in front of goal against Derby. The Rams were impressive as they fought to victory at home against Middlesbrough last time out, but we feel that Paul Warne's side will struggle on the road once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawDerby County
44.91% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 25.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.72% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)21.87% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)30.47% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.052 0.05)66.68% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.9%
    Derby County 29.72%
    Draw 25.35%
WatfordDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.72%

How you voted: Watford vs Derby

Watford
72.6%
Draw
15.1%
Derby County
12.3%
73
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Watford
2-1
Derby
Pedro (19'), Hughes (21')
Hughes (20'), Cleverley (42')
Troost-Ekong (77' og.)
Buchanan (45'), Byrne (90+1')
> Match Report
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
0-1
Watford

Evans (58')
Pedro (76')
Wilmot (90+1')
> Match Report
Apr 3, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
2-2
Watford
> Match Report
Nov 22, 2014 3pm
Watford
1-2
Derby
> Match Report
Apr 26, 2014 3pm
Derby
4-2
Watford
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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