Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley4 - 3Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Mallorca
Friday, July 26 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 26 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Derby
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Barnsley 2-1 Derby County
With Wednesday's friendly against Derby being Barnsley's final tune-up match before their League One season starts, the home side are backed to end their pre-season preparations with success to boost the Reds before hosting Mansfield Town on August 9. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
34.71% ( 0.22) | 26.51% ( 0.02) | 38.77% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% ( -0.06) | 52.46% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% ( -0.05) | 74.13% ( 0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( 0.11) | 28.8% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.34% ( 0.14) | 64.66% ( -0.13) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( -0.16) | 26.42% ( 0.16) |