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League One | 2nd Leg
May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
2 - 3
Barnsley

Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will have to take risks to have any hope of mounting a comeback, but we think that could play into Bolton's hands, which is why we believe that the hosts will add to their two-goal cushion and book their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
54.53% (-1.36 -1.36) 21.46% (0.393 0.39) 24% (0.969 0.97)
Both teams to score 62.7% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.15% (-0.779 -0.78)35.85% (0.77999999999999 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-0.864 -0.86)57.93% (0.865 0.87)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.663 -0.66)13.24% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-1.356 -1.36)40% (1.358 1.36)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.33800000000001 0.34)27.73% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.433 0.43)63.3% (-0.433 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.53%
    Barnsley 24%
    Draw 21.46%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.199 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 24%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
81.6%
Draw
14.0%
Barnsley
4.4%
114
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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