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Championship header 2

League One
Barnsley
League One | 1st Leg
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
1 - 3
Bolton

Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Charles (23', 53' pen.), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Barnsley and Bolton played out draws in their two head-to-head meetings this season, and we think that there could be a similar result on Friday, especially as the Tykes have drawn their last two home games, while the Trotters have seen four of their previous six away games finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
36.95% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.59% (0.212 0.21) 37.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.95500000000001 -0.96)48.32% (0.957 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.881 -0.88)70.47% (0.88199999999999 0.88)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)25.52% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.648 -0.65)60.38% (0.65 0.65)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.524 -0.52)25.23% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.728 -0.73)59.98% (0.73 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.95%
    Bolton Wanderers 37.47%
    Draw 25.59%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.47%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
28.9%
Draw
26.5%
Bolton Wanderers
44.6%
83
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
> Preview
May 19, 2023 8pm
Barnsley
1-0
Bolton
Kitching (24')
Cole (57')

Dempsey (42'), Santos (81')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Charles (67')
Cadden (63')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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