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League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Reading

Although Bolton have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, they tend to perform well on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to record a narrow victory in Monday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
68.97% (-0.164 -0.16) 17.35% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 13.68% (0.098999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.66% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)33.34% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)55.12% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)8.76% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.9% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)30.1% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.092999999999996 0.09)36.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)73.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.97%
    Reading 13.68%
    Draw 17.35%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.73% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 68.97%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
50.0%
Draw
28.1%
Reading
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')
Nov 21, 2017 8pm
Bolton
2-2
Reading
Burke (18'), Pratley (23')
Robinson (14'), Madine (80')
Moore (76'), Bacuna (83' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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