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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
68.97% ( -0.16) | 17.35% ( 0.07) | 13.68% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.66% ( -0.07) | 33.34% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.88% ( -0.08) | 55.12% ( 0.08) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.24% ( -0.06) | 8.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.9% ( -0.13) | 30.1% ( 0.13) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( 0.09) | 36.85% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( 0.09) | 73.64% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 68.97% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.35% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |