MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 09:56:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Bolton logo
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Reading

Although Bolton have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, they tend to perform well on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to record a narrow victory in Monday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
68.97% (-0.164 -0.16) 17.35% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 13.68% (0.098999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.66% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)33.34% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)55.12% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)8.76% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.9% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)30.1% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.092999999999996 0.09)36.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)73.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.97%
    Reading 13.68%
    Draw 17.35%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.73% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 68.97%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
50.0%
Draw
28.1%
Reading
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')
Nov 21, 2017 8pm
Bolton
2-2
Reading
Burke (18'), Pratley (23')
Robinson (14'), Madine (80')
Moore (76'), Bacuna (83' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!