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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Saint-Etienne

Lyon
1 - 0
St Etienne

Lacazette (29')
Caleta-Car (40'), Fofana (86'), Perri (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stassin (34'), Boakye (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-0 Saint-Etienne

 Lyon are unbeaten in five Ligue 1 games, and in their last 21 against newly-promoted sides, but they will be seeking three points here, as opposed to merely extending that run. Form may often go out the window on derby day, but this will be a difficult place for Saint-Etienne to turn their awful away record around at. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawSaint-Etienne
65.58% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87) 18.35% (0.314 0.31) 16.07% (0.557 0.56)
Both teams to score 60.22% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (-0.378 -0.38)32.91% (0.38399999999999 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (-0.44 -0.44)54.62% (0.445 0.45)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (-0.298 -0.3)9.41% (0.3031 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (-0.718 -0.72)31.66% (0.723 0.72)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.419 0.42)33.52% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.456 0.46)70.16% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 65.58%
    Saint-Etienne 16.07%
    Draw 18.35%
LyonDrawSaint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 65.58%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.35%
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.07%

How you voted: Lyon vs St Etienne

Lyon
83.0%
Draw
11.3%
Saint-Etienne
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lyon
1-0
St Etienne
Dembele (15' pen.)
Da Silva (59')

Gourna-Douath (19'), Camara (42'), Macon (50'), Thioub (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
St Etienne
1-1
Lyon
Khazri (90+4' pen.)
Nordin (32'), Camara (45+3')
Aouar (42')
Dubois (45+3'), Toko Ekambi (90+1'), Denayer (90+3')
Lopes (74')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 21
St Etienne
0-5
Lyon

Kolodziejczak (54'), Hamouma (74'), Bouanga (84')
Kadewere (16', 68'), Marcelo (36', 59'), Bouanga (82' og.)
Guimaraes (23')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
2-1
St Etienne
Kadewere (65', 74')
Caqueret (42'), Guimaraes (50'), Cornet (68'), Paqueta (83'), Mendes (90+6')
Lopes (40' og.)
Youssouf (52'), Gourna-Douath (64'), Moueffek (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lyon
2-0
St Etienne
Dembele (27', 90' pen.)
Dubois (53'), Dembele (67'), Tousart (77'), Guimaraes (87')

Debuchy (26'), Trauco (39'), Abi (77'), Kolodziejczak (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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