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Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Lyon

St Etienne
1 - 1
Lyon

Khazri (90+4' pen.)
Nordin (32'), Camara (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aouar (42')
Dubois (45+3'), Toko Ekambi (90+1'), Denayer (90+3')
Lopes (74')

Preview: Saint-Etienne vs. Lyon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lyon travel to the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard on Sunday evening to take on bottom side Saint-Etienne in the final game of Ligue 1's ninth round of matches.

A strong run of results has seen the visitors move up to seventh in the table, while the hosts are still searching for their first win of the season.


Match preview

Saint-Etienne manager Claude Puel pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Only Saint-Etienne and Brest are yet to win a league game so far this campaign and it is the former who sit bottom of the league, on just three points and with a goal difference of -10.

Claude Puel's time at the club has not been convincing, having taken charge of a team that finished fourth and only narrowly avoided relegation the following season.

Much of last season was also spent hovering in and around the relegation zone - until a stronger finish to the season saw them climb to mid-table - and many fans considered Puel fortunate to have retained his job over the summer.

Performances this campaign will only see the pressure continue to mount and, after opening the season with three consecutive draws, Les Verts now find themselves on a run of five straight losses.

The latest of those came at the hands of Nice last weekend, as goals from Amine Gouiri, Calvin Stengs and Andy Delort saw the visitors come away with a comfortable 3-0 victory.

Lyon's Moussa Dembele celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in August 2021© Reuters

Puel will have to hope that his side can provide a little more of a challenge to their next guests, but Lyon come into the game on the back of some good recent performances.

Les Gones have won five of their last seven games in all competitions, with the two exceptions being a narrow loss away at runaway leaders Paris Saint-Germain and last weekend's mildly disappointing draw with Lorient.

The team from the North-West are also having a good season, though - sitting one position and one point above Lyon in the table - and it was they who took the lead, after an early red card for Emerson Palmieri, with Karl Toko Ekambi finding an equaliser for the hosts in the second half.

Peter Bosz's side returned to winning ways during the week with an impressive 3-0 victory over Brondby in Thursday's Europa League game, where Toko Ekambi made it three goals in two games and Houssem Aouar put the icing on the cake late on.

Lyon have won five of the last six Rhone-Alpes derbies with Saint-Etienne, and Bosz will be fairly confident of making it six out of seven on current form.

Saint-Etienne Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Lyon Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Lyon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Lyon's Jerome Boateng during the warm up before the match on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Saint-Etienne goalkeeper Etienne Green should return to his spot between the sticks now he has served his suspension, with Stefan Bajic heading back to the bench after a tough day at the office against Nice.

Aimen Moueffek and Yvann Macon remain on the sidelines with a broken arm and a calf injury respectively, but Alpha Sissoko may be fit enough to return to the bench.

Puel played a 3-4-3 formation against Nice at the weekend but should revert back to a more customary 4-2-3-1 here.

Lyon have a long list of absentees - Moussa Dembele and Jeff Reine-Adelaide are out injured, while Jason Denayer, Islam Slimani and Jerome Boateng are set to be late decisions for Bosz.

Tino Kadewere is fit again, at least, although an appearance from the bench seems more likely than a place in the starting XI.

With Emerson suspended, Henrique is set to make a first league start at left-back.

Saint-Etienne possible starting lineup:
Green; Moukoudi, Sow, Kolodziejczak, Trauco; Gourna-Douath, Camara; Hamouma, Khazri, Bouanga; Ramirez

Lyon possible starting lineup:
Lopes; Gusto, Diomande, Da Silva, Henrique; Caqueret, Guimaraes; Shaqiri, Paqueta, Cherki; Toko Ekambi


SM words green background

We say: Saint-Etienne 1-2 Lyon

The atmosphere created by the Saint-Etienne fans in the first derby they have been able to attend in a long time will help the home side, but it will likely not be enough to compensate for their recent form. A draw is not out of the question, especially with the number of absences for Lyon, but we just about fancy them to edge this game.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: St Etienne vs Lyon

Saint-Etienne
6.1%
Draw
10.6%
Lyon
83.3%
66
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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