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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for Barrow has a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Barrow win it is 1-2 (5.26%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barrow |
59.24% ( 0.98) | 21.28% ( -0.38) | 19.47% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% ( 0.86) | 40.89% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% ( 0.88) | 63.27% ( -0.88) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( 0.58) | 13.47% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.52% ( 1.15) | 40.47% ( -1.16) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( -0.11) | 34.64% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( -0.12) | 71.37% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.32% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 19.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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