We said: Barrow 2-1 Morecambe
Despite their struggles, Morecambe have proven to be difficult to beat in recent weeks, drawing four of their last five games in League Two, but we are expecting Barrow to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.