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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
49.17% ( -0.22) | 25.29% ( 0.35) | 25.54% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.54% ( -1.49) | 51.46% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.73% ( -1.31) | 73.26% ( 1.32) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( -0.69) | 20.94% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( -1.1) | 53.68% ( 1.1) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.9) | 34.92% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.97) | 71.66% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.52% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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