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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Walsall
Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Morecambe

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Morecambe

Graydon (34'), Coughlin (45+3')
Helm (42'), Bonds (45+5'), Bolton (71'), Johnston (81'), Hunt (84'), Graydon (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Songo'o (74'), Hope (86')
Songo'o (38'), Angol (40'), Tollitt (63'), Harrack (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Morecambe

Although Morecambe would have taken some confidence from their recent 3-3 home draw against Colchester, they have lost all three of their away league games this season, and we think that they will experience more disappointment on their travels when they face a Fleetwood side that have won three of their five competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawMorecambe
49.17% (-0.223 -0.22) 25.29% (0.346 0.35) 25.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-1.174 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-1.49 -1.49)51.46% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-1.314 -1.31)73.26% (1.316 1.32)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.693 -0.69)20.94% (0.696 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-1.097 -1.1)53.68% (1.098 1.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.904 -0.9)34.92% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.965 -0.97)71.66% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 49.16%
    Morecambe 25.54%
    Draw 25.28%
Fleetwood TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.426 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 25.54%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Morecambe

Fleetwood Town
88.5%
Draw
6.6%
Morecambe
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
1-1
Fleetwood
Gnahoua (32')
Love (49'), Hunter (69')
Andrew (83')
Andrew (69')
Lane (90+6')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Fleetwood
1-2
Morecambe
Johnson (82')
Pilkington (90+5')
Pilkington (90+6')
Jones (11'), Stockton (90+4')
McLoughlin (43'), Stockton (90+5')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
-
Fleetwood
2-1
Morecambe
Burns (25'), McGowan (72' og.)
Ekpolo (94')
Ekpolo (51' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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