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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Morecambe

Crewe
1 - 0
Morecambe

Hemmings (43' pen.)
Tracey (9'), Williams (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Songo'o (71'), Angol (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Morecambe

 Morecambe's confidence will have been lifted by their win over Wigan, but there is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season. We are backing Morecambe to score their first league goal of the campaign on Saturday, but Crewe should have enough to emerge victorious on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
41.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 32.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.96% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 41.63%
    Morecambe 32.9%
    Draw 25.47%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.9%

How you voted: Crewe vs Morecambe

Crewe Alexandra
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Morecambe
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Morecambe
0-1
Crewe

Songo'o (90+5')
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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