League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Globe Arena
Morecambe1 - 2Crewe
We said: Morecambe 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
Neither side can afford any more slip-ups if they wish to retain their position in the league, especially Crewe whose future looks bleak heading into 2022. With the backing of home support, we expect Morecambe to just about edge this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 48.23% | 26.3% | 25.48% |
| Both teams to score 48.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% | 55.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% | 76.57% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% | 22.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.23% | 56.78% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Score Analysis |
Morecambe 48.22%
Crewe Alexandra 25.48%
Draw 26.29%
| Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.75% Total : 25.48% |
How you voted: Morecambe vs Crewe
Morecambe
55.0%Draw
10.0%Crewe Alexandra
35.0%20
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Morecambe
2-2
Crewe
