Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
