FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
2 - 1
MK Dons

Reid (61'), Norris (120+1' pen.)
Taylor (51'), Smith (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Darling (37')
Darling (5'), Robson (11'), Boateng (34'), Harvie (75'), Kasumu (112'), Baldwin (117')
Martin (45+2'), Darling (119')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Stevenage and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.29%).

Result
Stevenage	Draw	MK Dons
24.67%	24.79%	50.53%

Both teams to score 52.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9%

72.1%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06%

34.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32%

71.68%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15%

19.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.06%

51.94%

Score Analysis

Stevenage 24.67%

MK Dons 50.53%

Draw 24.79%

Stevenage	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 7.29% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.07% Total : 24.67%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.53%