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MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2021 at 7pm UK
Stadium MK

MK Dons
2 - 4
Aston Villa U21s

Parrott (16'), Watters (25')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Davis (13'), Archer (45+1', 90+1'), Ramsey (58')
Davis (8'), Lindley (32')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawAston Villa Under-21s
71.14%16.19%12.67%
Both teams to score 59.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.94%30.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.74%51.26%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.52%7.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.12%26.88%
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94%36.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16%72.84%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 71.14%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 12.67%
    Draw 16.19%
MK DonsDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 8%
3-0 @ 7.84%
1-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 5.18%
4-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 4.08%
5-1 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 2.64%
5-0 @ 2.64%
5-2 @ 1.37%
6-1 @ 1.16%
6-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4%
Total : 71.14%
1-1 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 4.72%
0-0 @ 2.7%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.19%
1-2 @ 3.64%
0-1 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-2 @ 1.4%
1-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 12.67%

rhs 2.0
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