Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
