League One | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Accrington5 - 1Fleetwood
We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood are looking to turn their form around and they will be looking to take advantage of Accrington's poor form also to gain another point in League One on Saturday. Accrington will want to prevent Fleetwood's attack from flourishing having conceded 11 goals in their last four league outings, which may mean a low-scoring game will be played out at the Wham Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 40.11% | 26.25% | 33.63% |
| Both teams to score 53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
