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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Fleetwood

McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

The outcome of this one highly depends on the number of absentees that Oxford will be suffering from, but considering the possibility that they will remain without a few of their first-team players at least, we are predicting Fleetwood to pick up at least a point here. Oxford would normally be the favourites for a comfortable win against struggling opponents in this one, but their troubling situation presents Fleetwood with the chance to pick up a vital draw or victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
62.45%21.31%16.24%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65%46.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36%68.65%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75%14.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98%42.03%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39%41.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.91%78.1%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 62.44%
    Fleetwood Town 16.24%
    Draw 21.3%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 6.41%
4-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.81%
5-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 62.44%
1-1 @ 10.13%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.2%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
48.0%
Draw
32.0%
Fleetwood Town
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Oxford Utd
1-0
Fleetwood
Ruffels (28')
Rodriguez (38'), Winnall (66'), Agyei (76')

Andrew (82')
Mulgrew (6')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Fleetwood
2-1
Oxford Utd
Madden (15'), Clarke (79')
Coutts (89')
Moore (33')
Mackie (40'), Baptiste (49')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Fleetwood
2-2
Oxford Utd
Burns (8'), Madden (25')
Wallace (73')
Henry (52'), Mackie (64')
Hanson (19'), Mackie (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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