League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Oxford United
31.69%	25.45%	42.86%

Both teams to score 55.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3%

48.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19%

70.81%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1%

28.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23%

64.77%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36%

22.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74%

56.27%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 31.69%

Oxford United 42.86%

Draw 25.45%

Burton Albion	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.69%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.86%