FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
4 - 3
Oxford Utd

Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')

FT
(aet)

Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Bristol Rovers and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.01%).

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Oxford United
22.27%	23.04%	54.69%

Both teams to score 54.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91%

45.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56%

67.44%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68%

34.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98%

71.02%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62%

16.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99%

46.01%

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 22.27%

Oxford United 54.68%

Draw 23.03%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.01% 2-1 @ 5.82% 2-0 @ 3.22% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.27%	1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 5.93% 0-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.51% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 54.68%