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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
32.69% | 27.54% | 39.77% |
Both teams to score 48.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.13% | 56.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.21% | 77.79% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% | 32.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% | 68.85% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% | 63.57% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |