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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
32.5% ( 0) | 25.89% ( 0) | 41.6% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% ( -0) | 50.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.72% ( -0) | 72.28% ( 0) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( 0) | 29.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% ( 0) | 65.11% ( 0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( -0) | 23.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% ( -0) | 58.2% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |