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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
50.35% ( 0.02) | 24.05% ( -0) | 25.6% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% ( -0.01) | 46.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.47% ( -0.01) | 68.52% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( 0) | 18.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.45% ( 0) | 49.55% ( -0) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% ( -0.02) | 32.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% ( -0.02) | 68.53% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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