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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crewe
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

In a pivotal contest in the playoff race, Crewe Alexandra will likely fancy themselves to bounce back to winning ways with home advantage against an AFC Wimbledon side missing several key players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
39.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 34.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.173 0.17)50.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.154 0.15)72.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.107 0.11)59.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.108 0.11)28.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.141 0.14)63.78% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.98%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.07%
    Draw 25.94%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

Crewe Alexandra
58.1%
Draw
21.0%
AFC Wimbledon
21.0%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Crewe
Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mandron (60'), Long (62'), Sambou (90+8')
Cosgrove (19')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crewe
Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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