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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
49.73% ( -2.65) | 23.89% ( 0.68) | 26.38% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 56.72% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( -1.32) | 44.88% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -1.28) | 67.23% ( 1.28) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( -1.48) | 18.13% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( -2.59) | 49.08% ( 2.59) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 0.87) | 30.72% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( 1.01) | 66.98% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.73% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |