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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Crawley Town

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley


Tilley (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Crawley Town

 AFC Wimbledon and Crawley finished 21st and 22nd respectively in League Two last season, so there has been huge improvement from both this term, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, but AFC Wimbledon should just have another quality to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
56.73% (1.327 1.33) 21.52% (-0.136 -0.14) 21.75% (-1.192 -1.19)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.847 -0.85)38.81% (0.846 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.896 -0.9)61.12% (0.896 0.9)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.124 0.12)13.55% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.25 0.25)40.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-1.508 -1.51)31.27% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-1.789 -1.79)67.62% (1.79 1.79)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 56.73%
    Crawley Town 21.75%
    Draw 21.52%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.371 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.409 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.73%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley

AFC Wimbledon
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Crawley Town
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Crawley
Pigott (22')
Rudoni (90+4')
Nadesan (30'), Watters (50')
Powell (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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