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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Mansfield Town |
29.75% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( -0) | 45.9% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.74% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( 0) | 44.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.96% ( 0) | 67.04% ( -0.01) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( 0.01) | 28.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.12% ( 0.01) | 63.87% ( -0.02) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% ( -0.01) | 19.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.47% ( -0.01) | 51.53% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.75% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 45.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |