League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Fletcher (61'), Mullin (69')
Lee (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Currie (21')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wrexham
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

With Wimbledon missing some key players through injury, suspension and international call-ups, we are struggling to see beyond Wrexham extending their impressive winning streak at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson's side are playing like a team primed for back-to-back promotions at present, and it would be little surprise to see them competing in League One next season given the quality of players at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
46.9% ( 0.05)	23.34% ( 0.01)	29.75% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 61.27% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96% (

-0.09)

40.04% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

-0.09)

62.41% (

0.1)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

-0.01)

17.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.24% (

-0.02)

47.76% (

0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-0.08)

25.86% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

-0.11)

60.83% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 46.9%

AFC Wimbledon 29.75%

Draw 23.34%

Wrexham	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 3.99% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.75%