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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Fletcher (61'), Mullin (69')
Lee (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Currie (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wrexham
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

 With Wimbledon missing some key players through injury, suspension and international call-ups, we are struggling to see beyond Wrexham extending their impressive winning streak at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson's side are playing like a team primed for back-to-back promotions at present, and it would be little surprise to see them competing in League One next season given the quality of players at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 29.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)62.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.76% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.86% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.83% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 46.9%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
    Draw 23.34%
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Wrexham vs AFC Wimbledon

Wrexham
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Wrexham
Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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