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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Wrexham AFC

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Wrexham

Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon put in a spirited performance when they managed to defeat Championship promotion hopefuls Coventry on Wednesday night, which should give them confidence heading into a tough game. However, despite their opening day defeat, Wrexham should have enough quality to get their first league win on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
26.73% (0.176 0.18) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 47.87% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.15600000000001 0.16)33.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.166 0.17)70.37% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.115 -0.12)54.3% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.73%
    Wrexham 47.86%
    Draw 25.4%
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.86%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Wrexham
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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