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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Boreham Wood

Wrexham
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

Lee (15'), Mullin (52', 71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ndlovu (1')
Ilesanmi (30')

The Match

Match Report

Wrexham are crowned champions of the National League courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Boreham Wood, earning promotion to League Two in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
70.26% (4.088 4.09) 17.92% (-1.293 -1.29) 11.83% (-2.795 -2.8)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-3.745 -3.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.758 -0.76)40.95% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.778 -0.78)63.34% (0.777 0.78)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.842 0.84)10.47% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.91% (1.871 1.87)34.09% (-1.871 -1.87)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-4.749 -4.75)44.72% (4.748 4.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-4.085 -4.09)80.71% (4.084 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 70.25%
    Boreham Wood 11.83%
    Draw 17.92%
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
2-0 @ 11.92% (1.19 1.19)
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.706 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 8.97% (1.169 1.17)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.81 0.81)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.375 -0.38)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 70.25%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.654 -0.65)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Boreham Wood

Wrexham
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Boreham Wood
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Newton (30')
Hayden (52')
Jones (32')
May 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Marsh (89' pen.)
Evans (41')
Fyfield (38')
Mullin (54')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Wrexham
4-2
Boreham Wood
Palmer (15'), Hayden (61'), Jones (66'), Mullin (70')
Boden (38'), Marsh (68')
Stephens (32'), Boden (38'), Smith (42')
May 15, 2021 3pm
gameweek 53
Boreham Wood
2-3
Wrexham
Smith (18'), Tshimanga (45')
Champion (30'), Fyfield (90')
Champion (74')
Hall-Johnson (59', 88'), Ponticelli (86')
Lainton (57')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Wrexham
2-1
Boreham Wood
Hall-Johnson (27'), Young (69')
(8'), Vassell (36'), Hall-Johnson (60')
Murtagh (60')
Ricketts (45'), Murtagh (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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