National League | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Wrexham5 - 1Oldham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League
We said: Wrexham 2-0 Oldham Athletic
Wrexham have been almost flawless at the Racecourse Ground this season, even managing to push promotion-chasing Championship side Sheffield United very close in the FA Cup, and so it should be a relatively routine victory on Saturday. Earlier in the campaign, Parkinson's side defeated Oldham 3-0 at home in the FA Cup, but the Latics have improved since then, so it could be a more closely-contested game this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
74.06% ( 0.07) | 15.64% ( -0.01) | 10.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
