Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
64.08% ( 2.23) | 20.11% ( -0.55) | 15.8% ( -1.68) |
Both teams to score 53.04% ( -1.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% ( -0.61) | 41.89% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% ( -0.62) | 64.3% ( 0.61) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% ( 0.45) | 12.38% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.75% ( 0.93) | 38.24% ( -0.94) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% ( -2.42) | 39.46% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% ( -2.32) | 76.15% ( 2.32) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.63) 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.07% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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