Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Wealdstone |
83.29% ( -0.03) | 10.36% ( 0.02) | 6.35% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.25% ( -0.04) | 20.75% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.84% ( -0.06) | 39.15% ( 0.06) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.41% ( -0.01) | 3.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.49% ( -0.04) | 15.51% ( 0.04) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.02% | 40.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% | 77.54% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Wealdstone |
3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 6-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 4.82% Total : 83.29% | 1-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.22% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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