Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.