Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.