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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Altrincham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Welch-Hayes (82')
Hulme (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palmer (60'), O'Connell (85')
O'Connor (3'), Young (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 0-3 Wrexham

Wrexham displayed that they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with a promotion-chasing Championship side last weekend, so they should have no trouble sweeping Altrincham aside. Mullin has been in inspired form, and he is likely to get in on the act again, in what should be a resounding victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
22.25% (0.035 0.04) 22.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 54.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.052 -0.05)43.89% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)66.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)15.85% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.07 -0.07)45.05% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 22.25%
    Wrexham 54.98%
    Draw 22.76%
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.98%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Wrexham

Altrincham
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Mullin (31'), Palmer (33', 64'), Jones (78')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Davies (2'), Mullin (28', 33'), Palmer (35')
Young (56'), Jones (72')

Jones (40'), Osborne (65')
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

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Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

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Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

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Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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