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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Altrincham
1 - 2
Wrexham

Welch-Hayes (82')
Hulme (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palmer (60'), O'Connell (85')
O'Connor (3'), Young (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 0-3 Wrexham

Wrexham displayed that they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with a promotion-chasing Championship side last weekend, so they should have no trouble sweeping Altrincham aside. Mullin has been in inspired form, and he is likely to get in on the act again, in what should be a resounding victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
22.25% (0.035 0.04) 22.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 54.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.052 -0.05)43.89% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)66.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)15.85% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.07 -0.07)45.05% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 22.25%
    Wrexham 54.98%
    Draw 22.76%
AltrinchamDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.98%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Wrexham

Altrincham
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Mullin (31'), Palmer (33', 64'), Jones (78')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-0
Altrincham
Davies (2'), Mullin (28', 33'), Palmer (35')
Young (56'), Jones (72')

Jones (40'), Osborne (65')
Dec 28, 2021 3pm
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
10AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
11Eastleigh2581163533235
12Yeovil TownYeovil25105103129235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2577112636-1028
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2516181760-439


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