National League | Gameweek 29

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
0 - 3
Wrexham

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Gateshead and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Maidstone 2-3 Wrexham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gateshead 1-3 Wrexham

Given the 40-point gulf between title-chasing Wrexham and struggling Gateshead in the National League table, the visitors look set to register a straightforward victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Wrexham
34.03% ( 0)	24.09% ( -0)	41.88%

Both teams to score 60.56% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18% (

0.01)

41.82% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.78% (

0.01)

64.22% (

-0.01)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

24.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

0.01)

58.44% (

-0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

20.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53% (

0.01)

52.46% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 34.03%

Wrexham 41.88%

Draw 24.08%

Gateshead	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 7.87% 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.88%