National League | Gameweek 24

Dec 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
2 - 0
Gateshead

Francis (41'), Rodrigues (61')
Francis (10'), Baldwin (48'), Nemane (90+2'), Nemane (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bailey (24'), Tinkler (48'), Campbell (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Notts County and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 3-4 Notts County
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Aldershot
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Notts County 3-1 Gateshead

Even though Gateshead have been better organised along the backline in recent outings, they are facing an in-form Notts County attack who only need a half-chance to make you pay. Therefore, we expect a much more comfortable victory for the league leaders on Tuesday than we saw in their previous fixture against the Heed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Gateshead win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Gateshead
74.65% ( 0.13)	15.66% ( -0.05)	9.69% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.88% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.58%

36.41% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.45%

58.55% (

-0)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.72% (

0.03)

8.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.1% (

0.07)

28.9% (

-0.07)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.38% (

-0.15)

45.62% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.58% (

-0.12)

81.42% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Notts County 74.65%

Gateshead 9.69%

Draw 15.66%

Notts County	Draw	Gateshead
2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 74.65%	1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 15.66%	0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.69%