Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.