Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.