National League | Gameweek 13

Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 0
Wrexham

Langstaff (13')
Slocombe (60'), Langstaff (70'), Brindley (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tozer (61'), Lee (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Notts County 1-1 Wrexham

It is too difficult to split the two teams with them both in such good form and Notts County undefeated so far at Meadow Lane. As a result, we have this one as a draw, which would see Wrexham remain at the top of the National League table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Wrexham
44.07% ( -2.79)	26.05% ( 0.59)	29.88% ( 2.2)

Both teams to score 52.22% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

-1.25)

51.94% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.32% (

-1.09)

73.68% (

1.09)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-1.82)

23.46% (

1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

-2.71)

57.47% (

2.72)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22% (

31.78% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79% (

1.13)

68.21% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Notts County 44.07%

Wrexham 29.88%

Draw 26.05%

Notts County	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.88%