National League | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
6 - 0
Torquay Utd

Davies (11'), Mullin (29'), Palmer (42'), Hayden (72'), Dalby (80'), Forde (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Jarvis (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

Last Six:

Last Game: Southend 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Torquay United

Last Six:

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Torquay United

With the form that Wrexham are in, it is hard to see anything other than a comfortable win for them at home. Torquay have definitely been better on the road but the goalscoring duo of Mullins and Palmer may prove to be slightly too much to handle for them, although it wouldn't be surprising if Goodwin also found the back of the net for Torquay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Torquay United
73.67%	16.08% ( 0)	10.26% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.58% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.34% (

-0.01)

36.67% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.18% (

-0.01)

58.83% (

0.02)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.45% (

-0)

8.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.41% (

-0.01)

29.59% (

0.01)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.31% (

-0.01)

44.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.32% (

-0.01)

80.69% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 73.66%

Torquay United 10.26%

Draw 16.08%

Wrexham	Draw	Torquay United
2-0 @ 11.55% 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.86% 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 73.66%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.08%	0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.05% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 10.26%