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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Torquay United

Wrexham
6 - 0
Torquay Utd

Davies (11'), Mullin (29'), Palmer (42'), Hayden (72'), Dalby (80'), Forde (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Jarvis (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

Last Six:
Last Game: Southend 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

Torquay United

Last Six:
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Torquay United

 With the form that Wrexham are in, it is hard to see anything other than a comfortable win for them at home. Torquay have definitely been better on the road but the goalscoring duo of Mullins and Palmer may prove to be slightly too much to handle for them, although it wouldn't be surprising if Goodwin also found the back of the net for Torquay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawTorquay United
73.67%16.08% (0.0019999999999989 0) 10.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 50.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (-0.012 -0.01)36.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)29.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.31% (-0.012 -0.01)44.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)80.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 73.66%
    Torquay United 10.26%
    Draw 16.08%
WrexhamDrawTorquay United
2-0 @ 11.55%
3-0 @ 9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.86%
5-1 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.66%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.08%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 3.05%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 10.26%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Torquay Utd

Wrexham
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Torquay United
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
1-0
Wrexham
Hall (8')
Moxey (38'), Wearne (69'), Lapslie (83'), (87')

Ponticelli (22'), (87')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Torquay Utd
Lennon (4')
Lennon (47'), Lainton (58')
Lemonheigh-Evans (84')
Perritt (54'), Moxey (90+6')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Wrexham
0-1
Torquay Utd

Angus (76'), Harris (84')
Sherring (90+3')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Torquay Utd
3-1
Wrexham
Whitfield (5'), Hall (17' pen.), Lemonheigh-Evans (74')
MacDonald (75')
Vassell (19')
Horsfield (10')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Wrexham
P-P
Torquay Utd
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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