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Maidenhead United
National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
York Road Stadium
Notts County

Maidenhead
3 - 4
Notts County

Acauah (30', 48'), Ferdinand (67')
Massey (44')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Rodrigues (9'), de Castro (39'), Langstaff (41', 83')
Palmer (53'), Cameron (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Maidenhead United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-4 Notts County
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Maidenhead United 0-3 Notts County

 Maidenhead United are in the best possible position heading into one of the toughest matches of the season due to their recent undefeated run. Despite that, this is still going to be a very tough task for the hosts due to the quality of Notts County, as their attacking abilities should help them take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawNotts County
18.51% (-0.127 -0.13) 21.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 59.95% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (0.195 0.2)43.56% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (0.192 0.19)65.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)37.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (-0.029 -0.03)74.02% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (0.134 0.13)14.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (0.259 0.26)41.77% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 18.51%
    Notts County 59.94%
    Draw 21.53%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 5.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.51%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 6.57% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.49% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.22% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.18% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 59.94%

How you voted: Maidenhead vs Notts County

Maidenhead United
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Notts County
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Notts County
3-0
Maidenhead
Langstaff (22', 44'), Taylor (59')

Barratt (65'), Upward (72')
May 15, 2022 3pm
Maidenhead
0-1
Notts County

Barratt (30'), Massey (67')
Roberts (72' pen.)
Wootton (54'), Roberts (60'), O'Brien (76'), Richardson (80')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Notts County
1-0
Maidenhead
Lacey (48')
Lacey (55'), Palmer (82'), Roberts (84')

De Havilland (34'), Upward (84')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Maidenhead
0-4
Notts County

Coley (45'), Massey (45+2')
O'Brien (10', 65', 75'), Rodrigues (83')
Miller (81')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Notts County
2-3
Maidenhead
Knowles (3'), Rodrigues (30')
Rodrigues (67')
Barratt (14', 64'), Orsi-Dadamo (75')
Barratt (23'), Upward (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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