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Scunthorpe United
National League | Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
Notts County

Scunthorpe
1 - 4
Notts County

Lavery (19')
Apter (34'), Beestin (63'), Carver (65')
FT(HT: 1-3)
de Castro (23'), O'Brien (33'), Langstaff (40'), Scott (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Scunthorpe United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Yeovil
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Scunthorpe United 0-3 Notts County

 Notts County have had a two-week break heading into this weekend so should be fully rested and ready to give a good performance for their travelling supporters. Scunthorpe have been forced to make a change in management in the week and that combined with an in-form Notts County side coming to town means Saturday's game is likely to end in a sixth straight defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
16.02% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 18.29% (0.527 0.53) 65.69% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-1.993 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.25% (-2.548 -2.55)32.75% (2.552 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.57% (-3.003 -3)54.43% (3.006 3.01)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-1.584 -1.58)33.48% (1.588 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-1.772 -1.77)70.12% (1.775 1.77)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (-0.815 -0.81)9.34% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5% (-1.972 -1.97)31.49% (1.975 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 16.02%
    Notts County 65.69%
    Draw 18.29%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.42% (0.315 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.463 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.409 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.29%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.547 0.55)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.721 0.72)
0-3 @ 6.95% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 4.5% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.95% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 65.69%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Notts County

Scunthorpe United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Notts County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
3-3
Notts County
 Scunthorpe win 6-5 on penalties
Madden (69' pen., 105'), Holmes (86')
Goode (43'), Mantom (84'), Townsend (108')
Grant (22'), Brisley (92'), Yates (117')
Stead (45'), Yates (79')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
2-0
Notts County
Van Veen (100', 115')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-2
Scunthorpe
Jones (10'), Bajner (73')
Smith (34'), Williams (77')
Robinson (1'), Canavan (86')
Madden (6'), McSheffrey (44'), Robinson (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Scunthorpe
0-1
Notts County

Madden (65'), Olejnik (88'), Osbourne (90')
Ismail (89' pen.)
Hollis (40'), Ismail (90')
Oct 7, 2014 7.45pm
Scunthorpe
1-2
Notts County
Madden (14')
Madden (76')
McLaughlin (23'), Murray (32')
Thompson (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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