Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Wealdstone | 44 | -14 | 53 |
17 | Maidenhead United | 44 | -19 | 51 |
18 | Barnet | 44 | -30 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Notts County |
30.94% | 24.05% | 45.01% |
Both teams to score 59.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.27% | 42.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% | 65.13% |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% | 26.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.4% | 61.6% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% | 19.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% | 50.86% |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.25% Total : 45.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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