National League | Gameweek 21

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
1 - 1
Gateshead

Jarvis (70')
Donnellan (10'), Evans (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bailey (75')
Magnay (77'), Conteh (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Torquay United and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Southend
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Torquay United 1-1 Gateshead

Both teams are on a rough patch heading into the game, and this weekend's meeting could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Gateshead
41.01% ( 0.01)	22.69% ( -0)	36.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 66.43% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.63% (

0.01)

34.37% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.71% (

0.01)

56.29% (

-0.01)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

0.01)

17.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

0.02)

47.9% (

-0.02)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

-0)

19.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

-0.01)

51.43% (

Score Analysis

Torquay United 41.01%

Gateshead 36.3%

Draw 22.69%

Torquay United	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.01%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.93% 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.39% Total : 36.3%