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Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 3
Dorking

De Silva (12', 65'), Ellis (80')
Ness (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wheeler (45+1'), McShane (51'), Muitt (53')
Lincoln (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 0-3 Aldershot
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 2-2 Dorking Wanderers

 Games involving Dorking Wanderers have tended to be high-scoring affairs so far this season, and we expect this one to be no different. Torquay picked up a good result against Derby County last time out, but with the visitors being a lot higher than them in the table, this fixture may well end as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
42.17% (0.10299999999999 0.1) 22.42% (-0.119 -0.12) 35.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.3% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.83% (0.60599999999999 0.61)33.17% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08% (0.693 0.69)54.92% (-0.694 -0.69)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.286 0.29)16.48% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.514 0.51)46.2% (-0.516 -0.52)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.28400000000001 0.28)19.41% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (0.46400000000001 0.46)51.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 42.17%
    Dorking Wanderers 35.41%
    Draw 22.42%
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Dorking

Torquay United
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dorking Wanderers
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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