National League | Gameweek 8

Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
6 - 1
Aldershot

Jarvis (8', 46', 87'), Lapslie (21'), Goodwin (29'), Hall (49')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Willard (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-3 Aldershot
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Aldershot Town
38.33% ( -1.62)	24.95% ( -0.14)	36.72% ( 1.76)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.58% (

0.85)

45.41% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.25% (

0.8)

67.75% (

-0.8)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

-0.45)

23.45% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

-0.66)

57.46% (

0.66)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

1.38)

24.31% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

1.92)

58.68% (

-1.92)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 38.33%

Aldershot Town 36.72%

Draw 24.94%

Torquay United	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.33%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.72%