Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.